NATE SILVER – Republicans have 60/40 shot to achieve 51 in US Senate – dependent on #mssen staying R

Republicans Remain Slightly Favored To Take Control Of The Senate

In Mississippi, incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran won his runoff against Chris McDaniel, partly with the help of African-American voters. Most of those African-Americans will wind up voting for the Democrat, Travis Childers, in November. But Mississippi’s white voters represent the majority of its turnout and are overwhelmingly Republican; there aren’t many swing voters in the state and it would take a truly awful Republican nominee to put the party at much risk. Cochran is comfortably ahead in polls since the runoff.

538
8/4/14