9. Mississippi’s 1st district (Democratic-controlled): On paper, this is a seat that Democrats have no business holding; President Barack Obama won just 38 percent of the vote here in 2008. But, Rep. Travis Childers is a good fit for the district and benefited from facing the same opponent last November that he had defeated in a special election earlier in the year. If Republicans can find a nominee not so closely tied to Memphis — in other words, not from DeSoto County — it could severely complicate Childers’ winning equation. No one with that profile has emerged just yet. (Previous ranking: 6)
Washington Post
6/12/9
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