Poll Good News For Nunnelee Camp
It is hard to describe the independent polling done by Penn Schoen Berland for The Hill as anything but good news for Alan Nunnelee’s campaign. The challenger boasts a five-point lead over Travis Childers, and Childers’ doesn’t even hit 40 in this poll.
If any polling or political historians would like to do some digging, it will be interesting to see how many times an incumbent is polling at 39 percent two weeks out and has gone on to win re-election (in a two-way race).
The 44-39 Nunnelee lead gives three percent to ‘other’ and 12 percent undecided. If you were to split those undecided’s down the middle you’d still end up with 49-51 for Nunnelee and 44-46 for Childers. Of course, you can’t imagine they will break evenly for both candidates. Rather a closer prediction may be 65-75 percent of that group break for Nunnelee which would put him comfortably in the 51-53 range.
Majority in Miss.
10/20/10
Magnolia Tribune
