What The Experts Say About Mississippi
The Rothenberg Political Report has MS-01 rated Tilt Republican (where it has been for months) and MS-04 a pure toss-up (which is a recent move in Steven Palazzo’s favor).
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has MS-01 rated Leans Republican and MS-04 rated Leans Democrat. Sabato has now toss-ups in his final predictions.
The Cook Political Report has both MS-01 and MS-04 listed as a toss-up. MS-01 has been there for months, while MS-04 recently moved there.
Nate Silver with FiveThirtyEight gives Alan Nunnelee an 87 percent chance of defeating Travis Childers (to put it in the Likely Takover category), while giving Palazzo a 68 percent chance of defeating Gene Taylor (which puts it in the Lean Takeover category).
The rest of the numbers. Here are predictions on how many seats they believe the GOP will pickup. Charlie Cook is predicting 48-60 seats, Larry Sabato is saying 55, Stu Rothenberg is saying 55-65 and Nate Silver is predicting 53.
Majority in MS
10/30/10
